Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.038016 0.044247 0.051175 0.059447 0.069058 0.079877 0.092983
2025-11-16 0.027958 0.036005 0.045881 0.058898 0.075615 0.096381 0.124173
2025-11-23 0.022025 0.030644 0.042053 0.058270 0.080752 0.110866 0.154358
2025-11-30 0.018622 0.027603 0.040255 0.059385 0.087625 0.127862 0.189730
2025-12-07 0.015685 0.024556 0.037738 0.058765 0.091531 0.140775 0.220692
2025-12-14 0.013214 0.021720 0.034975 0.057148 0.093409 0.150558 0.247878
2025-12-21 0.011255 0.019337 0.032489 0.055464 0.094725 0.159334 0.274292
2025-12-28 0.010172 0.018206 0.031815 0.056561 0.100599 0.176027 0.315793
2026-01-04 0.009129 0.016977 0.030776 0.056824 0.104971 0.190575 0.355326
2026-01-11 0.008225 0.015856 0.029753 0.056928 0.108986 0.204854 0.396068
2026-01-18 0.007544 0.015048 0.029177 0.057744 0.114355 0.222140 0.444534
2026-01-25 0.007040 0.014508 0.029022 0.059317 0.121322 0.243190 0.502896
2026-02-01 0.006187 0.013168 0.027172 0.057343 0.121110 0.250462 0.535127
2026-02-08 0.005618 0.012338 0.026240 0.057129 0.124484 0.265378 0.585295
2026-02-15 0.005088 0.011519 0.025221 0.056582 0.127056 0.278903 0.634241
2026-02-22 0.004759 0.011092 0.024976 0.057678 0.133325 0.301040 0.705087
2026-03-01 0.004334 0.010390 0.024035 0.057078 0.135684 0.314828 0.758699
2026-03-08 0.003888 0.009580 0.022751 0.055508 0.135577 0.322986 0.800135
2026-03-15 0.003490 0.008830 0.021509 0.053873 0.135089 0.330164 0.840115
2026-03-22 0.003299 0.008563 0.021381 0.054938 0.141335 0.354153 0.924986
2026-03-29 0.003078 0.008192 0.020953 0.055193 0.145577 0.373743 1.001260
2026-04-05 0.002869 0.007824 0.020488 0.055294 0.149432 0.392825 1.078764
2026-04-12 0.002712 0.007575 0.020296 0.056087 0.155216 0.417573 1.174806